Afghanistan’s historic win over Australia has made Group 1 very exciting, with all four teams still having a chance to reach the semifinals. Here are the possible outcomes for this group before the last round of Super 8 matches.
Points Table:
| Teams | Matches | Won | Lost | Points | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2.425 |
| Australia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.223 |
| Afghanistan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -0.65 |
| Bangladesh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.489 |
Remaining fixtures
- Australia vs India, St Lucia
- Afghanistan vs Bangladesh, St Vincent
India
- India has been unbeaten in the tournament so far, and their convincing victory against Bangladesh has put them in a strong position within the group. Their Net Run Rate (NRR) stands at a healthy 2.425.
- Even if India loses to Australia in the final game, they can still qualify as group winners.
- A win or a no-result against Australia guarantees India a spot in the semifinals, regardless of the Afghanistan-Bangladesh match outcome.
- The only way India can be eliminated is if they lose to Australia by a big enough margin to drop their NRR below Afghanistan’s (assuming Afghanistan beats Bangladesh).
- In a three-way tie between India, Australia, and Afghanistan:
- For India to be out, Australia must beat India by 41 or more runs to surpass India’s NRR.
- Afghanistan needs to defeat Bangladesh by 83 runs to surpass India’s NRR.
India’s fate hangs on their performance against Australia, and every run matters.
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Australia & Afghanistan
- Australia:
- They have one win and one loss.
- Despite a setback against Afghanistan, their Net Run Rate (NRR) is favorable.
- To qualify, Australia must beat India and hope Afghanistan loses to Bangladesh or doesn’t win by a large enough margin to surpass Australia’s NRR.
- If Australia loses to India and Afghanistan beats Bangladesh, Australia is out.
- Afghanistan:
- Their win against Australia revived their semifinal hopes.
- To qualify, Afghanistan must defeat Bangladesh and hope India defeats Australia.
- Alternatively, if Australia beats India by just 1 run, Afghanistan needs to beat Bangladesh by 36 or more runs (assuming the team batting first scores 160 runs).
- Afghanistan’s advantage lies in playing last and knowing the exact qualification scenarios.
In this thrilling race, every run and wicket matters.
Bangladesh
- Bangladesh has a slim chance to qualify after Afghanistan’s win.
- They need a miracle due to their poor Net Run Rate (NRR) of -2.489.
- To make it, Bangladesh must:
- Beat Afghanistan by a huge margin.
- Hope India defeats Australia significantly.
- In a three-way tie, NRR will decide their fate.
- If Australia loses to India by 55 runs, Bangladesh needs to win by 31 or more runs (assuming the team batting first scores 160 runs).