Afghanistan’s Heroics: T20 World Cup Group 1 Qualification Scenarios

Afghanistan’s historic win over Australia has made Group 1 very exciting, with all four teams still having a chance to reach the semifinals. Here are the possible outcomes for this group before the last round of Super 8 matches.

Points Table:


Remaining fixtures

  • Australia vs India, St Lucia
  • Afghanistan vs Bangladesh, St Vincent

qualification scenario


  • India has been unbeaten in the tournament so far, and their convincing victory against Bangladesh has put them in a strong position within the group. Their Net Run Rate (NRR) stands at a healthy 2.425.
  • Even if India loses to Australia in the final game, they can still qualify as group winners.
  • A win or a no-result against Australia guarantees India a spot in the semifinals, regardless of the Afghanistan-Bangladesh match outcome.
  • The only way India can be eliminated is if they lose to Australia by a big enough margin to drop their NRR below Afghanistan’s (assuming Afghanistan beats Bangladesh).
  • In a three-way tie between India, Australia, and Afghanistan:
    • For India to be out, Australia must beat India by 41 or more runs to surpass India’s NRR.
    • Afghanistan needs to defeat Bangladesh by 83 runs to surpass India’s NRR.

India’s fate hangs on their performance against Australia, and every run matters.

Also check :- Why These West Indies Players Won’t Be in the 2024 T20 World Cup?

Australia & Afghanistan

  1. Australia:
    • They have one win and one loss.
    • Despite a setback against Afghanistan, their Net Run Rate (NRR) is favorable.
    • To qualify, Australia must beat India and hope Afghanistan loses to Bangladesh or doesn’t win by a large enough margin to surpass Australia’s NRR.
    • If Australia loses to India and Afghanistan beats Bangladesh, Australia is out.
  2. Afghanistan:
    • Their win against Australia revived their semifinal hopes.
    • To qualify, Afghanistan must defeat Bangladesh and hope India defeats Australia.
    • Alternatively, if Australia beats India by just 1 run, Afghanistan needs to beat Bangladesh by 36 or more runs (assuming the team batting first scores 160 runs).
    • Afghanistan’s advantage lies in playing last and knowing the exact qualification scenarios.

In this thrilling race, every run and wicket matters.


  • Bangladesh has a slim chance to qualify after Afghanistan’s win.
  • They need a miracle due to their poor Net Run Rate (NRR) of -2.489.
  • To make it, Bangladesh must:
    • Beat Afghanistan by a huge margin.
    • Hope India defeats Australia significantly.
    • In a three-way tie, NRR will decide their fate.
    • If Australia loses to India by 55 runs, Bangladesh needs to win by 31 or more runs (assuming the team batting first scores 160 runs). 
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